Looks like November will close Monday with below normal rainfall for PDX.  The 30-year average is 5.61" at the airport.  Portland will likely close with 5.12" of rain.  The biggest memory will likely be a few moderate wind events, the strongest produced a 95 mph gust at the coast and 57 mph gust near Vancouver lake on the 16th.  The peak wind gust in Portland of 51 mph on the 22nd was the highest of the month at PDX.  All and all we escaped November will no "big" flooding event or memorable low pressure storm.   I should mention the hefty start to the mountain snow season.  As of today, Timberline Lodge has had 137" since October 1st.  The resort's reported base is 64 inches. 

Astoria:  1.11" / Seaside:  1.02" / Tillamook:  .85" / Newport: 1.32" / Kelso:: .63" / Scappoose: .60" / Vancouver: .57" /Portland: .52" / Troutdale: .43" / Hillsboro .44" / McMinnville: .49" / Salem: .60" / Corvallis: .74" / Hood River: .12"

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
 821 AM PST SUN NOV 22 2009
 
 ..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
 ..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
             ..REMARKS..
 
 0816 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PACIFIC CITY            45.20N 123.96W
 11/22/2009                   TILLAMOOK          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER 
 
             STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRED BETWEEN 4 AND 445 AM. SUSTAINED 
             IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH THE PEAK GUST OF 85 MPH. 
             AS OF 815 AM THE WINDS HAD DROPPED INTO THE 20 TO 30 MPH 
             RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUST NEAR 40 MPH AS REGISTERED BY A
             DAVIS WEATHER SYSTEM. NUMEROUS TREES ARE DOWN AND SOME 
             ROOF DAMAGE EVIDENT. NO POWER TO RESIDENTS AND IT IS NOT 
             EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS.
 

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
207 PM PST THU NOV 19 2009

...FLOOD WATCH FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST
OREGON...

.RIVERS IN FAR SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON CONTINUE TO RISE TODAY AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER THE AREA CONTINUES TO BRING PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAIN TO PACIFIC AND WAHKIAKUM COUNTIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 4 INCHES HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN THE WILLAPA HILLS SINCE
MIDNIGHT. THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED THE GRAYS RIVER TO RISE
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND STEADY RISES ARE OCCURRING ON THE WILLAPA
RIVER. RAIN HAS NOT BEEN AS HEAVY IN THE NORTHWEST OREGON COAST
RANGE AS THE FOCUS OF HEAVY RAIN SHIFTED INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON
AS THE FRONT LIFTED NORTHWARD. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2.5 INCHES
HAVE BEEN OBSERVED SINCE MIDNIGHT IN NORTHWEST OREGON BASINS.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WITH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE WILLAPA HILLS AND NORTHWEST
OREGON COAST RANGE. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CAUSE THE RIVERS
TO RISE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.

NW OREGON/SW WASHINGTON COASTAL BASINS BULLETIN

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...

  GRAYS RIVER NEAR ROSBURG AFFECTING WAHKIAKUM COUNTY
  WILLAPA RIVER NEAR WILLAPA AFFECTING PACIFIC COUNTY

RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST RAINFALL AND
TEMPERATURES...AND INCLUDE CURRENT AND PLANNED RESERVOIR RELEASES.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT
WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND (LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT UPDATE FOR THESE LOCATIONS WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 AM FRIDAY.

WAC049-201801-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-091120T2137Z/
/WILW1.1.ER.091120T1030Z.091120T1200Z.091120T1737Z.NO/
201 AM PST FRI NOV 20 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILLAPA RIVER NEAR WILLAPA.
* AT 2 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS...20.6 FEET / 9600 CFS.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET AND FLOOD FLOW IS 9310 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THIS RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM
  FRIDAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT 21.0 FT AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...ABOVE 21 FT...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING.  SEVERAL ROADS
  ALONG THE RIVER ARE FLOODED...INCLUDING HECKARD ROAD AND U.S.
  HWY 101. MINOR FLOODING IN RAYMOND.

$$

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST
  WASHINGTON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST
  OREGON...COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON AND NORTH OREGON
  COAST. IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST AND
  WILLAPA HILLS.

* FROM MIDNIGHT PST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6
  INCHES IN THE WILLAPA HILLS AND 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THE NORTH
  OREGON COAST RANGE AND ALONG THE NORTH OREGON AND SOUTH
  WASHINGTON COAST.

* RIVERS OF GREATEST CONCERN FOR FLOODING INCLUDE THE
  WILLAPA...GRAYS AND NASELLE RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...THE
  LOWER NEHALEM RIVER IN TILLAMOOK COUNTY OREGON AND THE NECANICUM
  RIVER IN CLATSOP COUNTY OREGON. IF THE FRONTAL BAND MOVES FURTHER
  SOUTH THE WILSON AND TRASK RIVERS COULD ALSO BE IMPACTED. THERE
  IS LESS OF A THREAT FOR THE WILSON AND TRASK RIVERS EXCEPT ALONG
  THE LOWEST REACHES WHERE HIGH TIDES COULD RESULT IN FLOODING
  ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

 Rain Totals Last 24 Hours:  Astoria 3.35" / Tillamook 1.59 / Newport .84 / Salem .50" / Scappoose .40" / Hillsboro .25 / PDX .31 / Vancouver .36 / Troutdale .30

Peak Winds:  PDX 45 mph / 95 near Waldport / Near Vancouver lake 57 mph / Tillamook 82 / Newport 77 / Salem 43

The above reports are random and not final.  Reports of property damage and downed trees up and down the coast.

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST
  WASHINGTON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST
  OREGON...COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON...GREATER PORTLAND
  METRO AREA...LOWER COLUMBIA AND NORTH OREGON COAST. IN
  SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...GREATER VANCOUVER AREA...I-5 CORRIDOR
  IN COWLITZ COUNTY...SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADE FOOTHILLS...SOUTH
  WASHINGTON COAST AND WILLAPA HILLS.

* MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING

* DUE TO HEAVY RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WILLAPA
  HILLS...NORTHWEST OREGON COAST RANGE...AND SOUTH WASHINGTON
  CASCADES.

* RIVERS OF MOST CONCERN FOR MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE THE WILLAPA...
  NASELLE...AND GRAYS RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...AND THE
  NEHALEM RIVER IN NORTHWEST OREGON. SOME SMALL STREAM AND URBAN
  FLOODING IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

Residents living near the Willapa Hills and northward in Washington will see the heaviest rain totals.

 Hi every one.....due to my video problems, I want to give you a little information on the next 7 days.  A warm front early Sunday will likely bring occasional light rain and or drizzle.  I still think Monday has a great chance of being dry with highs reaching 60 degrees.  The cold front Tuesday will being high winds to the coast and pretty good rain to the valley.  A 2nd front Thursday will help continue on-going rain chances into the start of the weekend. 

Lets pretend I can forecast the weather two weeks in advance....here we go:

Right now, dry weather with easterly winds and sunshine, minus any morning fog,  looks possible Monday Nov. 23rd - Saturday Nov. 28th.  That's right it could be dry and pleasant during the Thanksgiving holiday!  The overall airmass warms nicely, however, cold morning lows could lead to stubborn fog and chilly afternoon temperatures.  I will keep watching and give you another update next week.